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Posts posted by 5fouls
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10 hours ago, IUFLA said:
3.1415926535 8979323846 2643383279 5028841971 6939937510 5820974944 5923078164 0628620899 8628034825 3421170679 8214808651 3282306647 0938446095 5058223172 5359408128 4811174502 8410270193 8521105559 6446229489 5493038196 4428810975 6659334461 2847564823 3786783165 2712019091 4564856692 3460348610 4543266482 1339360726 0249141273 7245870066 0631558817 4881520920 9628292540 9171536436 7892590360 0113305305 4882046652 1384146951 9415116094 3305727036 5759591953 0921861173 8193261179 3105118548 0744623799 6274956735 1885752724 8912279381 8301194912 9833673362 4406566430 8602139494 6395224737 1907021798 6094370277 0539217176 2931767523 8467481846 7669405132 0005681271 4526356082 7785771342 7577896091 7363717872 1468440901 2249534301 4654958537 1050792279 6892589235 4201995611 2129021960 8640344181 5981362977 4771309960 5187072113 4999999837 2978049951 0597317328 1609631859 5024459455 3469083026 4252230825 3344685035 2619311881 7101000313 7838752886 5875332083 8142061717 7669147303 5982534904 2875546873 1159562863 8823537875 9375195778 1857780532 1712268066 1300192787 6611195909 2164201989 cords
😁
That's called a Woodchuck Pie
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2 minutes ago, btownqb said:
What does moving avg mean
It's most easily explained comparing it to a 'normal' average. Whereas a normal average uses the raw number for each of the last 7 days, the moving average takes the result of the raw average of the last seven days and then averages that. So, basically, an average of an average.
At least, that's the way I understand it.
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So, is China lying about their numbers, or do they already have a vaccine?
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Not saying we've beat this thing or that it's time to take the masks off, but the 7 day moving average of cases in the U.S. is down over 20,000 since July 25th. That has to be good news regardless of your position otherwise.
July 25th - 69,328 seven day moving average
August 18th - 49,284 seven day moving average
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How much wood would a woodchuck chuck if a woodchuck would chuck wood?
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2 minutes ago, Joe_Hoopsier said:
Video killed the radio star..... it’s a song.
Yeah. Did not pick up on that initially. I get what you guys are questioning now.
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I took it as a simple message that Jesus/God will help guide us through the crisis.
I don't think there was anything beyond that.
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6 hours ago, tdhoosier said:
I guess I'm not sure what many on here are trying to insinuate. Does anybody think we need to stop wearing masks, open up all bars, and start attending conventions in order to reach herd immunity? Just get a bunch of people sick before a vaccine is available and rip off the band aid?
Nobody is locked down right now. What policies do you think should be reversed?
I know you aren't advocating we going out in public and start licking each other's face in order to achieve herd immunity. What's your middle ground?
I was not insinuating anything. I was sharing what I thought was positive news amongst all the bad stuff. Whether we agree or disagree with how Sweden got to where they are today, you have to be encouraged by their numbers the last couple of weeks. No?
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3 minutes ago, Reacher said:
This explains why hard hit areas like NY are now faring better. We'll see soon if school reopenings have an effect.
Agreed. The article specifically states that places like Florida and Arizona should not have additional spikes either, once the current one fully ebbs.
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The data to support the theory that Sweden may be close to achieving herd immunity (see linked article 2 posts above) is strong.
- Seven day moving average of cases - 187
- Seven day moving average of deaths - 1
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/sweden/
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Interesting quote from the Newsweek article I linked above. Sounds like what happened in the U.S. That said, the article also talks about how herd immunity can be achieved with as little as 40% of the population, making it much more achievable than the 80% that has been previously thrown out there..
"This shift is because transmission and immunity are concentrated among the most active members of a population, who are often younger and less vulnerable," the researchers wrote. "If non-pharmaceutical interventions are very strict, no herd immunity is achieved, and infections will then resurge if they are eased too quickly."
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A couple of herd immunity articles. The Newseeek article indicates that 40% may be enough to achieve herd immunity.
https://www.newsweek.com/herd-immunity-slowing-virus-us-1525089
https://reason.com/2020/08/14/did-sweden-accidentally-blunder-into-covid-19-herd-immunity/
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6 hours ago, Parakeet Jones said:
Great job, Marco. It would be cool to finally see an Andretti in victory lane again.
I liked Mario well enough, but I never warmed up to Michael. Marco seems to be a little bit of an after-thought.
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I used to not like Dixon. But, he has grown on me a little bit. He obviously is one of the all time greats and it seems to me that he has the proper respect for the track and the 500.
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8 minutes ago, Seeking6 said:
That was really close in terms of delay and penalty. 27 seconds is a long time but glad they just gave him a talk afterwards.
Splitting hairs, but I don't think it was quite 27 seconds. I say one video that attached a timer to it and it counted 24. I just re-watched the video I linked and it looked to be about 25. Is there a specific time (something like 20 seconds) that they are allotted. Or, is that impossible since the longer the putt, the longer it would take to mark or tap in.
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The Koepka, Rose, Spieth feature group flopped, with Koepka and Rose missing the cut, and Spieth getting in just on the cut line.
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Penalty or not? I'm glad the official let it slide.
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1 hour ago, Lostin76 said:
<Stepping onto my Population Health soapbox>
I'm so sick of our nation ignoring this. It's all about gobbling down medicine instead of doing the smart things to be healthy. And greedy politicians sucking up fast food/junk food dollars to ignore the problem doesn't help.
Don't even get me started on factory farming and children's hospitals featuring McDonalds in their advertising and in their cafeterias.
It's so much cheaper and more efficient to tackle these things in a population health-based approach, but we would rather be lazy and waste billions on meds/surgeries to fix problems that could have been avoided.
</off the soapbox>
Reading this while eating Chick-fil-A.
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3 hours ago, Hoosierhoopster said:
Interesting stat per espn - 3 players since the restart in the bubble are averaging 25 ppg while shooting 48% from the arc - PG, Kawhi, and TJ Warren.
No surprise at all with Kawhi and Warren, but I thought Pau Gasol retired?
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13 minutes ago, Hoosierhoopster said:
espn write-up on Thomas Bryant, in the bubble --
8. Thomas Bryant's bubble defense
A big question for Washington's medium-term plans: Can Bryant be a starting center on a team with second-round ambitions? He should get there on offense. Bryant is a ferocious rim-runner who dunks like he wants to rip the basket down. He has a nice perimeter touch, and he's turning more long 2s into pick-and-pop 3s; eight of his 11 highest-volume 3-point games came in Orlando.
He's a surprisingly nifty passer given his (somewhat deserved) reputation as a chucker. He picks out cutters and has nice handoff chemistry with Bradley Beal.
It will come down to whether Bryant can defend the lane against good teams. His performance in Orlando was encouraging. He was nimbler corralling ball handlers on the pick-and-roll, more alert to where the offense might go next, and way, way more willing to make hard multiple efforts:
https://media.video-cdn.espn.com/gifs/mp4/2gif_2Q_WAS_OKC_8_9_Bryant.mp4
Bryant challenged more shots at the rim in Orlando, and opponents hit only 53% of them with Bryant nearby -- a stingy mark, down from about 60% before, per NBA.com.
Washington's defense still stunk, but that had less to do with Bryant.
There is a lot (like, a lot) of work left. (The Wiz should probably sign a defensive-oriented veteran center just in case.) Bryant's footwork can go haywire when he changes angles in tight spaces; he almost looks as if he's going to trip over his own feet. He's unreliable on the glass, overeager chasing blocks.
But Bryant just turned 23 and has logged only 2,700 NBA minutes. We are talking about the hardest part of any big man's job. Washington stole Bryant from the Lakers; the Wiz basically became L.A.'s Triple-A affiliate, only they can keep the players. They retained Bryant on a three-year, $25 million deal that has a chance to really pay off.
I think Thomas Bryant is a little underappreciated by IU fans. The dude plays his tail off every minute his is on the floor. Did that at IU as well.
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Dr. Fauci is not a proponent of herd immunity.
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20 minutes ago, Lostin76 said:
Primarydoctor.org is like a Saturday Night Live skit of misinformation. I won't even comment on the rest.
Every media source is going to present data in a way that best serves the narrative they are trying to present. That includes The New York Times.
That said, just because a source is not widely known does not make it a bad source. I can't help to think about the early days of this thread where the perception was that the data published by Johns Hopkins was the gold standard, while an unknown source like Worldometer could not be trusted. Turns out that Johns Hopkins was using Worldometer's data. That's a very good example of perception bias influencing the way we look at things.
The reality is that two people on opposite ends of the spectrum can take the exact same data and manipulate it in a way that fits the message they want to promote. Let's take the link you provided from the Times as an example. It has graphed actual deaths against expected deaths for every state, as well as New York City on it's own. Someone that wants to isolate the terrifying possibilities of this virus needs to look no further than the graph for NYC. By contrast, someone that lives in places like Hawaii and West Virginia can look at their graph and wonder why they have to wear masks, can't go to school, and not have a football season.
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The link below provides some really interesting data on a National, State, and even County level. It normally runs a couple of days behind the current date, but if nothing else, the color-coding in the maps gives a good view of the big picture.
https://globalepidemics.org/key-metrics-for-covid-suppression/
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On the disappointing front, Indiana is 2.5 weeks into the mandate to wear masks in public and cases are still at record or near record levels each day. Testing is up, but not to the level that would normally result in the percentage increase we have seen. I had hoped to see numbers begin to go down.
Trivia
in Colonial Crester's Corner
Posted
Not sure about the NFL, but the Big Ten just completed a Six month long punt.